Market Review – February 2023
Strong economic data raised market expectations for additional rate hikes in total of 0.5% by year end. While perhaps overdone, this speaks to how much the Fed has already raised rates, and that the end is perhaps near on rising rates.
Market Monitor – Fourth Quarter 2022
The fourth quarter was a welcome respite from the downdraft of 2022. Additional data that supported the moderating inflation mantra, a softening Federal Reserve (Fed) and the unwind of COVID-Zero policies in China led many asset prices higher.
Market Review – January 2023
Broad asset classes kicked off the new year higher after a not-so-jolly December. Sentiment turned decidedly positive based on slowing wage and job growth and cooling price pressures. These trends provided optimism for a less hawkish Fed pushing investor expectations from a 0.50% Fed move in February to a 0.25% as of January 31, 2023.
Market Monitor – Third Quarter 2022
The votes have been tallied and any hopes for a sustained rally in July were quickly dashed as markets experienced a bear market rally through the remainder of the third quarter. Markets broadly made new lows on the same mix of concerns that have plagued 2022.
Market Review – September 2022
For much of August, markets were heating up in the wake of a relatively favorable earnings season. But, much like a child’s summer ends with a new school year, the August rally ended following the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium in the second to last week of the month.
Market Review – August 2022
July provided solid respite after a difficult first half of 2022. Investors looked to corporate earnings and guidance to set expectations for the second half of 2022 and beyond, assessing the position of their portfolios while weighing the risk of a recession.
Market Monitor – Second Quarter 2022
In a broad-based manner, markets retreated over the quarter adding to year-to-date losses. Fixed income, global equities and real assets all came under pressures as the headwinds of rising interest rates, persistent inflation and looming economic contraction continued.
In Focus: Reassessing the Evolving Market Landscape
With the economic fallout including the exacerbation of inflationary forces from the war in Ukraine, CPI at 40-year highs, a flattening yield curve bordering on inversion and a bear market in the S&P 500 index (as of June 13), recession expectations have been steadily rising during early 2022.
Market Review – June 2022
On the surface, market returns in May appeared to be uneventful and were modestly positive. However, the reality within the month was far from that. For much of May, equity markets largely fell as investor focus turned to whether the Federal Reserve actions to suppress inflation could lead to recession.
Market Review – May 2022
The quick and material rise in interest rates had significant impacts across asset classes in both April and the year so far. Our outlook for 2022 remains similar to how we entered the year, emphasizing caution toward greater volatility ahead.